NIFTY X-RAY REPORT FOR 22 JUNE

 The markets moved in range bound whole days and came sudden buying in banking index help market closed  at 5165 with substantial gains yesterday along with  realty, banking, capital goods and power being the biggest gainers. Oil & gas lost substantially today and consumer durables and IT, too, closed negative. The Sensex closed at 17033, up 136 points from its previous close, and the Nifty shut shop at 5165, up 44 points. The CNX Midcap index was up 1.2%.
yesterday move was 100% trapping move. As I had written in my previous post that one more day up move was due but Up will come so fast and it will give closing above 5145-50 that was not expected.
FII bought 122.23 crores in nifty future and open interest increased by 4.73% that indicate more longs were made yesterday. Nifty 5200 call added 357900 shares in open interest and 5200 put added 1161200 shares in open interest. Still 5200  No unwinding from 5200 call level indicating that 5200 level will face resistance. Nifty gave three consecutive close above 50 DMA and 200 DMA which is strong bullish indication.
But in current situation I am much worried about that rupees depreciation is continue, IIp data is bad, intertest rate is high, there is nothing  change in last 15 days, well what market help to sustain here or go from more higher level from here.
India vix index is below 20 at 19.94. put call ratio is at 1.74. put call ratio is reaching at its extreme level which indicates that market up side is limited and may turn bearish.
As per EOD chart when you will see daily and weekly both you will find that there is no any weakness sign.
As per my trading psychology market will spend more time around this range. Closing below 5090 down move will start.
Need to be alert at current situation Trade reversal is very soon. Trade in limited quantity till Expiry. Situation is uncertain and trend is undecided.

MID SESSION OUTLOOK.

 HEAD AND SHOULDER PATTERN HAS FORMED ON 30 MIN CHARTS. TARGET INDICATING 5040-5020 IN NEAR TERM. YESTERDAY VOLUME WAS LOWEST IN LAST 27 DAYS. LOW VOLUME WITH RISE IN TREND INDICATES RALLY NOT SUSTAINABLE AT HIGHER LEVEL. CLICK ON CHART FOR ITS LARGER VIEWS.

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HOW WILL IT POSSIBLE AND WHAT WILL BE INCOME ?

Only 250 points per month in nifty future may take you to 32 lots in just 20 months.

How?

Lets understand this with a table below. I have made each 4 months slab.

MONTHS-LOTS- CAPITAL- POINT/LOT- INCOME/PM

0 to 3------01--------50000-----250 x1=250 -----12500.00
4 to 7------02----- --100000 ---250 x2=500------25000.00
8 to11-----04--------200000----250 x4=1000--- -50000.00
12to 15----08--------400000---250x 8=2000----100000.00
16 to 19---16--------800000----250x16=4000----200000.00
20 to 23---32-------1600000---250x32=8000----400000.00

As you all are seeing that we have gain 307 points till now in this month. Its not necessary that market ahead will be same but our target is to gain 1000 points in just 4 months.
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Federal Reserve "Opretion Twist"

The Federal Reserve ramped up monetary stimulus by expanding "Operation Twist", but disappointed some investors who had been hoping for more aggressive measures.
The U.S. central bank, as expected, extended its program of selling short-term securities and buying longer-dated ones, a move aimed at driving down borrowing costs, but did not signal a third round of quantitative easing. "The positive impact of a weaker yen should outweigh the disappointment about the U.S.'s economic outlook and the lack of more powerful stimulus," The Fed also slashed its forecast for U.S. economic growth, hitting commodities sensitive to expectations for industrial demand.
A Reuters poll showed Wall Street's top bond firms still see a 50 percent chance of a third bout of quantitative easing or "QE3", under which the Fed effectively creates money to fund large asset purchases, to stimulate the economy.
"Clearly, the tilt is to do more. QE3 is one of those options," said Julia Coronado, chief economist North America at BNP Paribas in New York.
The decision to hold off on QE3 for now boosted the dollar against the euro and the yen and also hit gold, which had been rising as investors betting on QE3 had bought the precious metal as a hedge against currency depreciation.

 The Indian Market nearest support is at 5113 and 5106 sustaining below this level for 30 min nifty will slide to 5073 level straight. and any close below 5020 we will see panic selling till 4978 -4920. 

NIFTY X-RAY REPORT FOR 21 JUNE

 Nifty Bounce back due to bounce in the cement sector from the lows of the day, following a subdued and rangebound session. Volumes were good and sectors that saw positive trade were autos, metals and infra. Sensex closed  at 16896, up 36 points and Nifty at 5120, up 16 points from the previous close.
FIIs bought index future worth rs.185.98 crores and open interest 0.97% indicating fresh long has made into the system. Nifty 5100 put added 845850 shares and 5100 call added 83950 shares in open interest. 5200 put added 527800 shares in open interest and 5200 call added 247500 shares in open interest. still no unwinding seen in 5200 call. market closed 16.70 points up still 5200 call are being written, but 5200 put added also huge open interest. 5300 call added 1745350 shares in open interest with highest open interest in call side at 8081750. Highest open interest shifted to 5300. Are FIIs long with hedging in 5200 call.  Today situation has been changed, the open interest has increased with trend and premium of shares has also increased, indicating clearly bull move for next day.
As per EOD charts nifty has given two continuous closing above 50 SMA indicating bull move. 50 SMA has crossed 200 SMA which form death cross on chart. Will this death cross proved as only for sign this time or it will show its power in near term.  Nifty June Put call ratio is at 1.62 and July put call ratio is at 1.66 and india vix is at 21.03. These two data is indicating that upside is limited and reversal in trend is very soon, any singal bad news terminate the upmove. As per my trading psychology one more day up move is possible. But 5150-5160 will create resistance for Nifty. Reversal is expected from that level according to Elliot wave if my count is true. Count will be invalid above 5190. Watch 5150-5160 level carefully, crossing and sustaining above this level with volume bull may take this rally up to 5190 level.  

MID SESSION OUTLOOK

 Market is almost on top level  and according to wave theory there is high probability of reversal from around 5145 level. it must would be creating doubt around this level but if reversal happen there would be best level proved for you. But it will need patience. shorting with two lots and if fall happen only 50%  I mean only 300 points downfall from here of my expected level you all will get 600 points. take risk of 50 points.
good luck.

NIFTY X- RAY REPORT FOR 20 JUNE

 Uncertain global and domestic cues weighed on investor sentiments through today's trade but the market managed to pull back from the lows of the day and close with smart gains.  Sensex closed  at 16859, up 153 points and Nifty at 5103, up 39 points from the previous close. 

Nifty 5100 put added 1067800 contracts in open interest and 5100 call added 782000 contracts in open interest. Nifty 5200 put added 172850 contracts and 5200 call added 475650 contracts. Nifty future closed at 5110 1.02% up and open interest decreased by -0.72%. Here is a big game happening to trap small investors I think. FII sold 8534 contracts in Nifty future worth rs 253.99 crores. Fii sold 253.99 and nifty future up by 1.02%, open interest decreased by 0.72% and no unwinding seen from 5100 and 5200 calls while market up today. This indicates that market will locked very soon up side. 5100 and 5200 call writers are still confident in even rising market. The open interest also increasing with trend and discount of shares also increasing with rise in trend , indicating down move very soon. Watch the previous resistance 5145 level carefully. Tomorrow during market hour if No unwinding seen from 5200 call there will be first class shorting opportunity at higher level. Market slide yesterday and FII bought, Market rise today and FII sold nifty future, Indicating that FIIs have used this rise to book profits as opportunity. Short nifty around 5140-5150 level will be good strategy if tomorrow no unwinding seen in 5200 call. India vix is at 21.43 strong support at 20 level.

I highly expect that a big storm is about to come. Investors who will keep patience for one or two days will get handsome reward. 

Bears will high jack nifty around 5150-5200.      

market watch

 Market will remain volatile for next three days or till this weekend and it will try to trap all small investors from shorts. I highly expect it will fall. Any close below 5015 we will see a straight slide up to 4900-4880.
Don't see market watch full days for some time.

MID SESSEON OUT LOOK.

 NIFTY FUTURE STRONG RESISTANCE AT 5098 LEVEL. WHICH CAN ASSUME AS STOPLOSS FOR ALL TYPE OF SHORT TIME TRADE.
BELOW 5040 TODAY WE MAY SEE MORE FALL UP TO 5115 LEVEL.

MARKET FNO REPORT 19/06/2012

MARKET FNO REPORT 19/06/2012
SHORTS BUILD UP- TOP 5

DLF, STERLITE, PNB, BANK OF BARODA, HCL TECH.

TOP 5 LONG UNWINDING:-

STATE BANK OF INDIA, ICICI BANK, RELIANCE INFRA, IDFC, HDFC BANK

TOP SHORTS COVERED:-

BAJAJ AUTO, POWER GRID

LONG BUILD UP:-
CAIRN INDIA, TATA STEEL

NIFTY X-RAY REPORT FOR 19 MAY

  As I had given you indication that market may reverse around 5200 and recommended to short Nifty around 5200 with the stop loss at 5035. It was a disappointing start to the week for the Indian market which opened gap-up but fell sharply after the RBI announced its decision to keep Repo Rate and CRR unchanged. It was disappointing start for general investors but it was a profitable start for my paid clients. Today recommended to buy July 5300 put around 180. We saw unwinding pressure with banks, real estate and auto sectors dragging the indices down. Volumes were extremely high in terms of turnover. Sensex shut shop at 16705, down 244 points and Nifty at 5064, down 74 points from the previous close.
Is that really a reversal of short term bull trend ? If yes then will market fall directly so that everybody could understand it easily. No no my dear. It will try to trap all retails investors and then it will confirm a direction. If everybody will understand that market will fall from here then the big question is who will buy here. If there will be no buyers then to whom sellers will sell.
I think market will spend some more time here and we may see a volatile week overall ahead.
Until unless nifty give close below 5115 bear market can't be confirmed. As per Nifty EOD charts formed a big bear engulfing pattern which indicates  weakness in nifty. Nifty future closed at 5058.80 -1.73% and open interest increased negatively by 1.01%. Yesterday we had seen long build up in nifty future. Today Fii bought 6616 contracts.FII have booked profit in nifty future which was made on Friday.
Nifty 5100 call added 226850 contracts in open interest and 5100 put decreased by 678300 contracts from open interest. Nifty 5000 call added 422250 contracts in open interest and Nifty 161550 contracts in open interest, Indicating that nifty may take some rest around 5110-5120 level. But up side 5095 level will resistance also.
Further conclusion with all data be positional short in nifty with stoploss at 5110. But a more day need for clear indication for next trend. But I expect that a big move is going to happen in near term. Any close below 5115 we may see big fall and this time 4780 level expected not supporting. The death cross is going to happen on chart in near term.Be alert and expected that nifty may fall heavily. 

 

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JUST SEE THE AUDIENCE OF THIS WEBSITE OF ONLY 7 DAYS  WHO READ X RAY REPORT.

INDIA                                         1700

United States                                  45

United Kingdom                             15

Russia                                            11

Germany                                        10

Philippines                                       5

Singapore                                        5

Netherlands Antilles                         2

Bangladesh                                      1

Brazil                                               1

ALERT ALERT ALERT

MINIMUM 700 POINTS RALLY IS READY TO  HAPPEN  ON CARD IN JULY SERIES. OPTION WILL BE MINIMUM TRIPLE OR MORE THAN TRIPLE.

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TOP 10 TRADING TECHNIQUE

 TOP 10 TRADING TECHNIQUE

1. Always have a trading plan.
2. Avoid over trading
3. Don't get unnerved by losses.
4. Try to capture the large market moves.
5. Always keeps learning.
6. Always be alert to opportunities of making some money with less risky strategies as well.
7. Treat trading as a business and keep a positive attitude.
8. Never blame the market for your reverses.
9. Keep a cushion.
10. Understand that there is no holy grail in the market.